First principles assessment
Why introduce cycle routes?
Cycling in Europe
On which trips do people cycle?
Demand impacts
Short and long run demand responses
Supply impacts
Financing requirements
Expected impact on key policy objectives
Expected impact on problems
Expected winners and losers
Barriers to implementation
Why
introduce cycle routes?
Cycling is an environmentally friendly (clean and silent), healthy, cheap
and flexible transport mode. Surveys on cycling indicate that people mostly
give other reasons to cycle than environmental considerations (Borger
& Frøysadal 1995, Stangeby 1997, Lodden 2002).
In many European cities cyclists lack space and other facilities and
cycling induces conflicts with vehicles as well as pedestrians. Cyclists’
risk of being killed or injured per kilometre in traffic is about 6-9
times as high as for car users (Elvik & Vaa 2003). Adjusted for under-reporting
of accidents involving injuries in official Norwegian accident statistics,
it is shown that cyclists run 40 times the drivers’ risk of injuries.
The primary objective of cycle routes physically separated from motorised
traffic is to make it less dangerous to cycle and to reduce cycling traffic
accidents. Many cyclists do not feel safe in traffic, especially when
they are travelling in mixed traffic on roads with heavy car traffic.
People’s subjective comprehension of insecurity influence their
choice of transport mode (Sælensminde 2002).
Secondary objectives, especially for cycle routes defined as a comprehensive
network, is to give current cyclists increased mobility and better access
to their destinations and to increase cycling, i.e. to reduce the number
of motor vehicle trips.
Cycling in Europe
There are great differences between the European countries in cycle share
of modal split. The differences are due to different culture, history
and cycling policy, elements that constitute peoples habits over years.
The following Danish quotations can illustrate this point:
“The bicycle is a national symbol for the Danes, as is the car
for the Americans.”
“The Danes are almost born cyclists – just like the Norwegians
enter this world with skis on their feets.”
(Road Directorate & Ministry of Transport 1989)
In addition, urban density and structure as well as climatic and topographic
conditions in different countries will have an impact on the cycle share.
Such differences must be taken into account when considering the impacts
and potential of cycle measures.
Table 1 gives an overview of the modal split in some European countries
in the nineties. The cycling share of the total number of trips is largest
in the Netherlands (27 per cent) and at the lowest level in Great Britain
(2 per cent). The cycle share in Spain is even lower, e.g. in Barcelona
< 1 per cent (ADONIS 1997). Cycling is more frequent in medium or smaller
cities than in larger cities. Increasing motorization is often combined
with less cycling. In Norway for instance the national cycle share has
decreased from 6 to 4 per cent from 1997/98 to 2001 (Hjorthol & Denstadli
2002). In the Netherlands too the number of travel kilometres by bike
seem to decrease slightly after 1995 (CROW 1997).
Table 1: Transport modes for individual daily trips in some European countries.
Number of daily trips. Source: Solheim & Stangeby 1997
Country |
Year* |
On foot |
Bicycle |
Car as
driver |
Car as
passenger |
Public
transport |
All trips |
Norway |
1991/92 |
0.66 |
0.20 |
1.70 |
0.39 |
0.26 |
3.25 |
Sweden |
1994/95 |
0.48 |
0.37 |
1.25 |
0.50 |
0.33 |
2.93 |
Finland1 |
1992 |
0.39 |
0.22 |
1.66 |
0.42 |
0.25 |
2.97 |
Denmark2 |
1992 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
1.40 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
2.90 |
Great Britain |
1992/94 |
0.84 |
0.05 |
1.07 |
0.63 |
0.25 |
2.88 |
The Netherlands |
1994 |
0.67 |
1.01 |
1.28 |
0.51 |
0.19 |
3.74 |
Germany |
1989 |
0.79 |
0.34 |
1.06 |
0.34 |
0.28 |
2.82 |
Austria (Ober) |
1992 |
0.55 |
0.18 |
1.413 |
|
0.37 |
2.59 |
Switzerland |
1989 |
0.75 |
0.33 |
1.723 |
|
0.46 |
3.50 |
France-Grenoble |
1992 |
0.98 |
0.16 |
1.48 |
0.45 |
0.48 |
3.58 |
France-Lyon |
1985 |
1.15 |
0.06 |
1.23 |
0.38 |
0.47 |
3.31 |
1 Trips longer than 200 m
2 Trips longer than 300 m
3 Trips as driver and passenger
On which trips do people cycle?
Another important fact when impacts are to be considered, is when cycling
is used and by whom. In most countries the majority of cycle trips are
short and seldom longer than 5 km. The Dutch and the Danes seem more willing
to use a bike on longer distances. In Norway 47 per cent of bicycle trips
are 1 km or shorter. In The Netherlands and Denmark this figure is 18
and 17 per cent respectively, cf. table 2. This fact is probably due to
short distances, a flat landscape as well as a long cycle policy tradition.
The total number of bicycle kilometres in millions per year in the Netherlands
in 1996 was 12.5. The corresponding figure for car kilometres was 137.3
(CROW 1997).
Table 2: Length of trips by different modes in some European countries.
Per cent. Source: Data from Solheim & Stangeby1997
Country |
Walking |
Cycling |
Car driver |
Public transport |
|
< 1 km |
1-5 km |
> 5 km |
< 1 km |
1-5 km |
> 5 km |
< 1 km |
1-5 km |
> 5 km |
< 1 km |
1-5 km |
> 5 km |
Norway |
68 |
30 |
2 |
47 |
44 |
9 |
16 |
38 |
46 |
3 |
34 |
63 |
Sweden |
53 |
42 |
5 |
26 |
63 |
11 |
6 |
36 |
58 |
|
|
|
Finland2 |
60 |
37 |
3 |
27 |
62 |
11 |
9 |
41 |
50 |
|
|
|
Denmark |
84 |
6 |
82 |
18 |
49 |
51 |
21 |
79 |
GreatBritain1 |
81 |
19 |
- |
28 |
66 |
6 |
8 |
52 |
40 |
4 |
58 |
38 |
Netherlands |
52 |
45 |
3 |
18 |
65 |
17 |
3 |
36 |
61 |
0 |
15 |
85 |
Germany |
65 |
31 |
4 |
31 |
58 |
11 |
8 |
38 |
54 |
2 |
40 |
58 |
Switzerland3 |
65 |
35 |
0 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
9 |
35 |
56 |
|
|
|
1) The figures refer to miles, thus being different form
the other countries (1 km = 1.6 mile)
2) In Finland the > 5 km figures are related to > 6 km
3) In Switzerland car passengers are included in the car driver column
One might distinguish between three types of bikers; the transport biker,
the leisure biker and others. Table 3 shows that leisure bikers in Norway
cycle longer distances than do other bikers. Those who use bike on their
working journey also bike longer distances. Also, table 3 shows that on
the average, cycle trips are shorter than car trips and longer than walking
trips. Public transport has the highest share of trips longer than 5 km.
It is also documented that people with driver licences and access to a
car are less frequent bikers than others and that the number of daily
cycle trips decrease by age. People with part time work bikes more than
full time workers and men bike more than women (Solheim & Stangeby
1997).
Table 3: Trips by bike by purpose in Norway, Sweden, Great Britain and
The Netherlands. Per cent. Trips shorter than 5 km. Source: Solheim &
Satengeby 1997
Purpose |
Norway |
Sweden |
Great Britain |
The Netherlands |
Shopping |
28 |
19 |
11 |
32 |
Leisure |
21 |
25 |
16 |
23 |
Other |
51 |
56 |
73 |
45 |
Sum |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Demand impacts
As a stand alone measure cycle routes will not result in great mode shifts,
but they will probably contribute essentially to keep current bikers on
wheel.
A comprehensive cycle network together with other measures intended to
improve cyclists’ feeling of safety, cycle routes may be effective
in encouraging cycling on shorter work trips and trips in the neighbourhood.
Supported also by other measures intended to reduce vehicle kilometres,
cycle routes will probably contribute to transport policy objectives seeking
to reduce motorized transport. The possible impacts will mainly apply
to shorter trips and will thus not induce great impacts on kilometres
by car.
Response |
Reduction in road traffic
|
Expected in situations |
|
|
|
|
|
Cyclist
will use cycle routes rather than vehicle routes, if well planned
and maintained. This will not reduce car kilometres. |
|
|
Improved
mobility by cycle might result in greater use of local facilities
and thus shorter shopping trips in the long run. |
|
|
Improved
safety and mobility by cycle might reduce some shorter car trips. |
|
|
Improved
safety and mobility by cycle might change mode from car and public
transport to cycle on shorter trips. |
|
|
Because
cycling don’t substitute longer car journeys selling the car is
unlikely. Cycle routes are more likely to affect the purchase of
a second household car and may delay or prevent people from buying
their first car. |
|
|
Cycle
route networks do not induce relocation. In the long term individuals
may move closer to frequent destinations where it is possible to
walk, cycle or use public transport. Any impact is most likely to
occur when moving house for other reasons. |
|
=
Weakest possible response, |
|
=
strongest possible positive response |
|
= Weakest
possible negative response, |
|
= strongest
possible negative response |
|
= No response
|
Short and long run demand responses
The demand responses of cycle routes are dependent on whether or not they
are implemented as comprehensive network solutions and in combination
with other measures (e.g. safe crossing points) that improve safety, jf.
Cycle priorities and Speed
limitations.
Since public transport often is an alternative or sometimes a supplementary
mode for cyclists (in the winter, when the weather is bad, for longer
trips etc.) increased cycling will probably increase the number of public
transport trips as well.
Demand responses in terms of change of job or living location are probably
small. Change of destination for shopping might be more influenced by
increased availability by cycle. Selling the car is an unlikely response
to cycle routes in the short run. However, in the long run cycle networks
might have potential for reducing car dependency.
Response |
- |
1st year |
2-4 years |
5 years |
10+ years |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Change job location |
|
|
|
|
- |
Shop elsewhere |
|
|
|
|
|
Compress working week |
|
|
|
|
- |
Trip chain |
|
|
|
|
- |
Work from home |
|
|
|
|
- |
Shop from home |
|
|
|
|
|
Ride share |
|
|
|
|
- |
Public transport |
|
|
|
|
- |
Walk/cycle |
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
=
Weakest possible response, |
|
=
strongest possible positive response |
|
= Weakest
possible negative response, |
|
= strongest
possible negative response |
|
= No response
|
Supply impacts
An important point is that bikes require by far less space than cars,
on the roads and when parked, se figure 3.
Separated cycle routes for cycling or tracks for walking and cycling
can increase the area that is used for road purposes. In cities with shortage
of available road space cycle routes will induce reallocation of road
space. Cycle networks will often comprise stretches where the existing
road supply is used to cycling, cf. Cycle lanes.
insert picture
Figure 3: Different vehicles occupy different amounts of urban space.
Each picture shows 45 persons being transported. Photo: Svein Magne Fredriksen,
Norwegian Ministry of Environment.
Financing requirements
The costs vary with the design of cycle routes, the available space, the
terrain and whether a single stretch or a whole network is planned. The
magnitude of costs for different cycle routes, (Sælensminde 2002),
can be:
- A separate track for cyclist and pedestrians in Norway cost 1,000,000
EURO pr km.
- If cycle paths are constructed like pavements (separated vertically)
the costs will be of same magnitude as pavements, i.e. 450,000 EURO
pr km.
In addition, an annual maintenance cost should be included. In Norway
the maintenance cost is around 4,000 EURO per km road for tracks for walking
and cycling. A substantial part of this is related to winter maintenance
(clearing snow and ice).
A complete cycle route net will demand substantial public funding. In
Trondheim, Norway a main cycle route net of 300 km is planned. 220 km
are built and the last 80 km are calculated to cost 80,000,000 EURO.
Expected impact on key policy objectives
Cycle routes will not result in great mode shifts, but might contribute
to transport policy objectives seeking to reduce motorized transport together
with other measures.
The impact on efficiency depends on which factors that are included in
the benefit cost analysis, jfr case 3. The
evaluation below includes valuation of the feeling of safety that is of
a great importance for choosing the choice to cycle (Sælensminde
2002).
Objective |
Scale of contribution |
Comment |
|
|
The benefits of cycle routes will exceed
the costs by far, when accidents, health and the feeling of safety
are taken into account. |
|
|
By reducing bikers at pedestrian areas
as well as motorized transport and the need for parking areas. |
|
|
If reducing car use, cycle routes will
reduce air and noise pollution. |
|
|
Some groups of people with lower incomes
may benefit. |
|
|
By reducing severe traffic accidents.
|
|
|
If cycle can substitute car use in congested
areas cycle routes may reduce the amount of potentially unproductive
time currently lost in congestion. Health effects of cycling may
reduce expenses of health care and reduce long and short time absence.
|
|
|
Pubic funding is needed |
|
= Weakest
possible positive contribution, |
|
= strongest
possible positive contribution |
|
= Weakest
possible negative contribution |
|
= strongest
possible negative contribution |
|
=
No contribution |
Expected impact on problems
The key problems listed are often the result of excessive car use. Cycle
routes as part of a comprehensive cycle network have a potential to reduce
shorter car trips. The impacts on accessibility, social equity etc. will
differ greatly between countries with different cycling tradition, cf.
table 1.
Contribution to alleviation of key problems |
Problem |
Scale of contribution |
Comment |
Congestion-related delay |
|
By reducing traffic volumes. |
Congestion-related unreliability |
|
By reducing traffic volumes. |
Community severance |
|
By reducing traffic volumes and giving
cyclists better accessibility |
Visual intrusion |
|
By reducing traffic volumes |
Lack of amenity |
|
Increased cycling may result in greater
use of local facilities. |
Global warming |
|
By reducing traffic-related CO2
emissions |
Local air pollution |
|
By reducing emissions of NOx,
particulates and other local pollutants |
Noise |
|
By reducing traffic volumes |
Reduction of green space |
|
By reducing pressure for new road building
and city expansion. Even if some green space might be used for cycle
routes, they are by far more space effective than car roads. |
Damage to environmentally sensitive sites |
|
By reducing traffic volumes |
Poor accessibility for those without a car and
those with mobility impairments |
/ |
Better accessibility for those people
without a car that are bicyclists. Will not help people with mobility
impairments. |
Disproportionate disadvantaging of particular social
or geographic groups |
|
Benefits to groups of people without
a car that are bicyclists. |
Number, severity and risk of accidents |
|
By reducing traffic volumes |
Suppression of the potential for economic activity
in the area |
|
|
|
= Weakest
possible positive contribution, |
|
= strongest
possible positive contribution |
|
= Weakest
possible negative contribution |
|
= strongest
possible negative contribution |
|
=
No contribution |
Expected winners and losers
Construction of cycle routes and comprehensive cycle networks does not
force anybody to change their travel habits, thus there is more potential
for winners than losers. Reducing accidents will induce more winners than
losers. The pinpointing of winners and losers will differ greatly between
countries with different cycling tradition, cf. table 1.
Group |
Winners / losers |
Comment |
Large scale freight and commercial traffic |
|
Might give less time spent in congestion
|
Small businesses |
|
Where these are local and cyclists get
better access. |
High income car-users |
|
These people will benefit like others.
|
People with a low income |
|
Better accessibility for those without
a car that are bicyclists e.g. youngsters, students. |
People with poor access to public transport |
|
Better accessibility for cyclists without
a car will compensate. |
All existing public transport users |
|
Reduced congestion may increase the reliability
of existing public transport. |
People living adjacent to the area targeted |
|
People living close to cycle routes will
profit more than others.
(X for private property owners where bicycle routes take their ground??)
|
People making high value, important journeys |
|
These people will benefit like others.
|
The average car user |
|
These people will benefit like others.
In addition they might get more exercise through walking and cycling. |
|
=
weakest possible benefit, |
|
=
strongest benefit |
|
= weakest
possible disbenefet, |
|
= strongest
possible disbenefit |
|
= neither
wins nor loses |
Barriers to implementation
In most countries there seems to be relatively strong cultural and political
barriers to the implementation of cycle routes and other cycle facilities.
Actual barriers perceived by people in Austria, Finland, Italy and Spain
are shown in figure 3 in Cycle
lanes.
In many cases construction of cycle routes is a question of prioritisation
of road space between car users and cyclists. Where private property has
to be expropriated, resistance will probably occur.
Lack of knowledge of potential benefits to the society combined with
little willingness to prioritise cyclists before car users is a key barrier.
Exceptions may be found in Denmark and the Netherlands, where national
cycle strategies have been at work for decades.
Barrier |
Scale |
Comment |
Legal |
|
Besides private property law there are
no obvious legal barriers to the implementation of cycle routes.
|
Finance |
|
Cycle routes as part of comprehensive
networks are expensive. Including increased security and health
effects cycle routes give value for money. The need to prioritise
scarce public funds between all kinds of transport investments is
a significant barrier. |
Political |
|
Measures related to cyclists and pedestrians
seem to have less priority than measures related to car traffic. |
Feasibility |
|
In many countries there are cultural
barriers to cycling and people have no tradition for this transport
mode. |
|
=
minimal barrier, |
|
=
most significant barrier |
Text edited at the Institute for Transport Studies,
University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT
|